Opinions and assholes
The more I watch television pundits, even more thoughtful television pundits like Fareed Zakaria and George Will, the more I come to the conclusion:
Opinions and assholes.
Decent people. Good faith. Thoughtful analysis.
Opinions and assholes.
Everyone's got one.
Empirical analysis of policy necessitates independent thought, the longest range analysis, an accountability to evidence, consistent application of principle and a genuine concern for everyone involved in a way that transcends simple or crass self interest.
And even then, opinions and assholes. Myself included.
But it's becoming perfectly clear to me, at this point.
Noone in Washington - not a single one - noone in universities - not a single one - noone in politics, period - not a single one - has any sort of monopoly on truth, whatsoever.
And that is the strongest argument for liberty and democracy that I know, if one accounts honestly for the fallibility that power is then subject to.
That is the reason why all of those Enlightenment thinkers favored liberty as a central virtue of governance. But in our hubris, we have dismissed that wisdom in favor of power. And that is where power begins to corrupt and a more honest democracy begins to break down. And the contemporary American system demonstrates that better than many situations I am witness to, right now. The situation in Zimbabwe is actually much clearer, I think. And America's station in the international community demonstrates the principle fairly clearly, as well. North Korea and Iran should be crystal clear demonstrations of the principle, both in their internal politics and in their relationships with the world community, if we saw it more clearly.
But I am completely clear on this matter, at this point.
The problem of democracy, as with the problem of more benevolent hegemony and was likely the problem with more benevolent imperialism, is not people in bad faith, necessarily, thought there is far too much self-interest, dishonesty, and unnecessary tragedy to rationalize the way we engage in politics at this point in the early 21st century. The biggest problem with democracy in the early 21st century is a failure of more empirical analysis of policies and consequences. It's a problem of opinions and assholes and the ways that we compensate for our analysis of policy when the truth is that we really don't understand many problems or their solutions very well in much democratic policy.
And it is, fundamentally, a problem of not taking liberty or democracy seriously enough and engaging them thoughtfully enough in a liberal democracy.
But the easiest way to say it is: opinions and assholes.
I've spent the last 5 years wondering if any of this policy work would mean anything in my lifetime or in anyone's lives if participants were going to stubbornly attach themselves to policy analysis that matched their partisan outlooks.
Would this work mean anything, I've wondered time and again, if power and the quest for it was going to perpetually interfere with a more honest, empirical analysis of its application and success and failures, even amongst scholars?
Was this just a waste of my life?
I've spent a lot of time thinking about other career paths that I passed up. I was a strong actor in high school and college. I'm a pretty good singer. I think I'd be a pretty good writer (a path that I'm exploring with a few script/book ideas I've working on). I've got my head wrapped around investment enough, I think, at this point, to be a rich man, if I wanted to take that path.
So why in the world did I choose to be a teacher of the roughest kids I could work with, to write about obscure policy matters that very few people will actually read, and to challenge core principles in both fields in ways that leave me feeling very much like a kook and an outsider, I've wondered many times to myself?
But the more I follow policy discussions, the more I keep thinking: there has got to be more to honest, empirical, thoughtful policy discussions than just opinions and assholes.
In the end, we are all left with both. But some opinions are more honest and thoughtful than others.
And more importantly to me, some reflect that people know better what they're doing.
Writing this book, this summer, will give me a chance to see if and how many others agree with my assessment of what that better understanding would look like.
In the meantime, I bring a fresh skepticism to this work. It is not because people are in bad faith or stupid or because I have grown cynical. Quite to the contrary, many people in the process are very much in good faith, thoughtful, and I am far more hopeful, honest, and humble in my commitment in this process, today, than I was when I started.
I bring fresh skepticism because all of that is some of the more important qualities to bring to free and democratic discussions, but they are not enough.
It does matter to understand, better, what is going on underneath it all.
I'll share what I've got this summer.
In the meantime, I'm just another guy with plenty of opinions and an asshole, just like everyone else.
But maybe I can still make a contribution that makes this process more honest and offers more understanding. That just might be worth it.


