I respect Dick Lugar a lot. As someone who grew up very liberal, in a family of peace activists and poverty lobbyists, Dick Lugar - like Ben Gillam and Mark Hatfield - was a Republican I could trust.
As I get older, and my politics becomes more thoughtful, less ideologically narrow, and more independent, I have more reason to respect Dick Lugar. Because that's the kind of politics he practices. And that's why everyone respects Dick Lugar so much. That and because he's one of the keenest minds on international policy issues on the Hill. And since I'm someone who opposed this war, up front, publicly and with plenty of thoughtful and vocal opposition, you would think that I would welcomeDick Lugar's comments that the President needed to start looking towards a draw-down.
I have to admit, Dick's speech was very smart. Far more thoughtful than the typical boilerplate that fills the halls of Congress. This is a speech you should read, not just read me bragging on it. It is a thoughtful assessment of the risks and benefits, the various interests, a long-term diplomatic and security strategy for the Middle East and Iraq, and a brilliant assessment of so many overlapping and complicated issues related to this war.
I agree with Dick about the constraints on policy that we face and about the need to use diplomacy more assertively and more readily and with more long-term dialogue forums and opportunities more readily available and established. I also agree with him that the most serious and underdeveloped work in the Middle East is more diplomatic efforts that have much more likelihood of earning friends and allies and moderating more the more radical, murderous tendencies of many terrorist groups and winning friends to coordinate military and law enforcement efforts to arrest or, when arrest is not possible, kill terrorists who murder innocent civilians. I wholeheartedly agree with Dick and with the findings of the Baker report and the support from folks like Henry Kissinger and others for a more established, long-term dialogue with Middle East governments and political players around future Mideast policy, especially Arab-Israeli peace.
But I do think that on one major policy issue that Dick is mistaken. I don’t dismiss the Baker report or the need for diplomacy like too many conservatives I read dismiss such efforts for fear that they are too weak to resolve all of our problems associated with terrorism. It is true, as many conservatives argue, that there are many terrorist groups with him negotiation is not likely to be fruitful unless and until they show indications of genuine commitment to laying down their arms. And for many terrorists and terrorist groups, that is not a risk that we should take lightly or pretend that the likes of Al Queda or Hamas or Hezbollah will do so without the risk that military personell or innocent civilians will be used as pawns in game of cynical pressure politics that terrorism is meant to reinforce. Neither, of course, should we take lightly the risk associated with continuing down a road of more militarism that has clearly increased our risks associated with terrorist violence, which has spiked substantially during this period. Nor should be dismiss, lightly, the success of efforts in Northern Ireland to end terrorist campaigns through diplomatic means and the much more substantial steps toward success in Spain and Palestine to do the same, even as those efforts have not ended violence in those areas.
Military and law enforcement efforts will be needed in situations like dealing with Al Queda and Hamas, in all likelihood, and might be needed in dealing with Hezbollah in Lebanon (though there are differences in those situations which make me more hopeful for political and diplomatic efforts to be more fruitful and make military efforts less necessary in Lebanon than, say, with our dealings with Al Queda) as well as diplomacy. Efforts by the Israelis to win support from moderates associated with or responsible for governing in countries that are home to terrorist groups to initiate home-grown efforts to use military and law enforcement in efforts those countries, that respect the sovereign jurisdiction of states and which support the self-determined efforts of populations that live in state-less terrorities like Palestine are a good model of how such efforts might look. Such efforts should operate under the highest integrity – meaning they should seek to arrest and try those who murder for political ends, with truth and reconciliation efforts between populations and within those criminal justice efforts, as much as possible, as a part of that strategy, and kill only as is needed in genuine self-defense in carrying out such law enforcement measures – and should serve as a model of the practical security details that will be necessary to make such diplomacy and negotiations workable.
So, around the broad vision of diplomacy playing a more assertive and necessary role in resolving matters around much terrorism and otherwise potentially violent conflicts between states, Dick and I are in full agreement.
Where I think Dick is mistaken is getting the politics backwards with the substance of this godforesaken situation in Iraq. Dick's explanation for the need for a drawdown was that the country would not support the war into perpetuity, and that the President needed to accept that reality. Meaning, Dick's explanation puts the domestic politics of how long Americans want to support this effort in Iraq above the substantial operational and security needs of Iraqis and a democratically-elected government in Iraq who have made clear that they still need American support, who did not ask for this war and who, all of a sudden, have been thrust into a situation where they have the most serious security emergency that a government can face, without the developed capacity, at this point, to maintain that security, and an American people and government who have basically said, "Sorry we fucked up your country. But we didn't anticipate what a fuck-up this would become when our people supported with huge majorities as we went into this thing. And now that same majority of Americans whose only and most important concern is the security of the Iraqi people that they have stuck with this situation have decided that we just don't want this responsibility on our plates any more. In other words, 'Sorry. Our bad.'"
It's so noble, that sentiment, isn't it? We're such noble defenders of democracy aren't we? And I don't mean President Bush. I mean us. I mean Americans. It's just all so noble, I could cry.
What Dick Lugar said today was, essentially, "I don't have any confidence in this effort anymore. The American people don't have any confidence in this effort, anymore. And we're not going to support it for forever."
Which would be fair enough, except...
Except that Iraqis didn't initiate this thing. We did. And I don't mean President Bush. I mean the robust majority of Americans who supported this war, up front, when it was really difficult for folks like me to oppose it publicly without looking like the biggest pusses in the world and virtually in league with Osama Bin Laden.
And that same mass of noble Americans has now decided, "Sorry bout that. We didn't realize it would be this hard. I know we risk plunging your country into sectarian warfare and genocide - the kind that the very same people who are begging for a pullout are simultaneously and with a straight face begging our government to engage in to intervene in the civil war in Sudan - but we just didn't realize it would be this hard. And while we'd like to help, and we're sorry about the mess, we've got other things to do."
It's all so noble, isn't it? It just inspires the soul, doesn't it?
And Dick essentially argued, today, that this terribly noble - if utterly logically inconsistent - sentiment was more important than the express wish of the Iraqi executive branch (who are clearly in better faith than the Al Sadr-led sectarian Shiite parliamentary majority who voted for an American pull-out for obvious reasons) to have Americans stay until they can handle this situation on their own.
If that government - who is clearly in better faith than any of the other representatitives we've seen in Iraq and represent less than ideal but more noble concerns than Al Sadr or his sectarian Shia representatives in parliament - says, "Americans, we're ready for you to leave," I'm all for it.
But if Americans leave, after plunging Iraq into this insane situation, before the Iraqi government has established substantial enough security that a political solution has enough safety and psychological space to negotiate a workable democratic settlement, and this situation devolves into more serious sectarian warfare and whatever brutal, ugly consequences might come from that, then the Iraqi people and the Muslim world will have reason in the world to look at America and say, "Those are the assholes who threw our country - that Muslim country, for other Arabs and Muslims - into chaos and then bailed and let things devolve into a blackhole of destruction, and wiped their hands clean. Because they stopped feeling like helping us. Oh, and then they moved onto Sudan."
Nothing in this godforesaken political period makes any sense to me at all, is the truth.
FUBAR.
If you haven't seen Saving Private Ryan, in awhile, I recommend it. This whole godforesaken political period. FUBAR. Fucked up beyond all recognition. Doesn't make any goddamn sense.
I don't know if I've ever lived through any political period where I had less respect for the American people. I love 'em. But I've lost a lot of respect for them, right now. Because at every point when they can lame out and choose cowardice over more genuine courage, they take the easy way out. Because it's easier, of course. I've been that kind of coward in my life. I know what it's like to not want to admit when you've fucked up. But as someone who regularly takes the hard route, sometimes the too hard route, I can't respect when people are always taking the easy way out instead of doing the right thing.
And Americans have the gall, right now, to look at the Iraqis and the Muslim world and say, "I know we were all too cowardly to dissent from this war when it needed dissent and we invaded your country because it was the popular sentiment after our country was attacked by people who kind of looked like you, but, really, ideologically, are very different from you and for which there is no substantial evidence (that I've seen, at least) that they were alligned with the asshole who ran your country. And, now, today, I know we are all too cowardly to take responsibility for that mistake and ante up when we created this godforesaken mess for your country."
"But, despite all that. You should follow us. Because all we care about is you and your interests. Oh, and by the way. We're going to force you to follow us, even if you don't want to. Because you've got to agree that we've done a pretty fuckin' marvelous job of leading you up to this point."
It's all so noble, isn't it? Doesn't your soul just sing with all the nobility in America's leadership and the American people, right now.
Dick is trying to address a political reality in domestic American politics, right now. He's trying to acknowledge a reality so we can forge better policy.
But what we need Dick Lugar - above anyone in the U.S. Senate that I can think of, at this moment - to do is not just to acknowledge the reality. We need Dick to lead.
We don't elect leaders so they can pander to our every prejudice and impulse, in the moment. Especially on the big things. We elect leaders to lead.
That's why I don't trust Hillary Clinton. Because at every chance that she has to lead, she panders. At every point that she might show some genuine courage - which involves risk - she hedges and does whatever she thinks the American people want. Hillary Clinton plays consumer politics. What the American people want, the American people get.
And that's why I don't trust her. And that is why I typically trust Dick Lugar. Because he doesn't typically play that kind of politics.
And, these days, what America needs more than anything elss is a leader.
Dick is our best possibility for that in Washington, right now, I think, of the people I am familiar with in positions of leadership.
What we need from our political leaders so desperately, right now, is not people who will do what we demand from them, pressure them, and otherwise bully then into doing.
What America needs, right now, is leadership. We need leaders on this war who will be guided by the most noble concern for the Iraqi people and American forces that we all plunged into this bloody mess and not by more cowardly impulses to do whatever our finicky, whiny, self-centered, child-like, popular moods dictate.
I have confidence that David Petraeus is that kind of leader. I have confidence that Robert Gates is that kind of leader. I have confidence that Frederick Kagan is that kind of leader. I have confidence that John McCain is that kind of leader. And I have confidence that every Republican candidate in the primary will stick with this situation in Iraq, even as they scare the shit out of me with their get tough attitudes on every other question.
I better start feeling some confidence that some Democrats are committed to making sure that we take care of our own mess, here. Because if I don't, I will likely be casting my first vote for a Republican for President in 16 years, 4 elections after my fatal and foolish first vote in my life for President George H.W. Bush over a stronger, if somewhat self-centered President in William Jefferson Clinton.
If we want to do the right thing in Iraq, what we need to do is ask ourselves, "Who in Iraq do we trust most to lead this country out of this mess? And what do they tell us they need from us to make sure that this thing doesn't go more sour than it has already gone?"
To my mind, that is the government of Prime Minister Nouri al-Malaki. And I haven't heard them give word that they are ready to take over security without American help yet.
So my vote, and I think the right thing, is that we stay. Even if it is hard. Even if we're not sure, at this point, where this thing is headed. Even if it means a leap of faith that we're having a hard time mustering, right now.
As far as I'm concerned, every American soldier who doesn't want to do this duty should be able to stand down with no shame or dishonor. They should be able to follow their consciences and thanked with deep appreciation for the service they've give their country.
But every man and woman who wants to make sure that the most trustworthy and democratic folks, here, don't get overrun by those with less noble, more power-hungry, and more sectarian and murderous motivations should be supported by the American people until this job is done, which is when the Iraqi government tells the Americans, "We've got it. We'll handle it from here."
Read Frederick Kagan if you want to understand the military and political situation, better, in Iraq, and the specific political realities that American support for the security situation in Iraq will support: a workable negotiating environment for a democratic future in Iraq, a reconciliation process that will be needed to move Iraq beyond the ugly mess that is has devolved into today, and an environment that is more genuinely open for legitimate and honest discussion of what a more ideal democratic government and society in Iraq might look like rather than a democratic compromise manipulated by the military maneuvers of various sectarian militias, insurgents, and terrorist groups for more narrow political advantage. Those are the best reasons for sticking around until the Iraq government says that this situation is under control.
But my reason is a more personal one. For me, it's a matter of owning our fuck-up. As Colin Powell has remarked, these are Pottery Barn rules. You break it, you own it. And we need to own this thing until the Iraqis responsible for the security of their country say they don't need our help anymore.
I didn't favor this war going in. But it's our mess now. It's an American mess, now, no matter how much we may try to pretend that the Iraqi people invaded their own country and just won't get their shit together after all the brilliant and selfless and noble leadership from the American government.
This is our mess. And if we leave, it's still our mess, whether we want to take responsibility for that fact of life or not.
And no amount of domestic political reality will make that larger and much more important reality reality go away. No matter how much we might wish that it would.
Dick Lugar is right to acknowledge the political realities that we face in this war. But we still have work to do. I think every day about joining up in a military capacity in this war, if only to put my money where my mouth is. But I certainly hope that we aren't going to walk away from this thing with me losing respect for the American people because they just can't own up and do the right thing on this one. Because I've faced quite enough FUBAR to last me a lifetime on this war, as it is.
Love,
Ben