Sunday, July 13, 2008

Stubborn certainty and more stubborn facts

It's so funny to me that those pressuring Iran to give up the bomb, right now, cannot even conceive that their approach might be the exact problem that has created the stalemate.

Jitters Over Iran

But here's the trick when it comes to a false sense of "certainty." Facts are more stubborn than our insecurities about the world. They are more stubborn than our need for certainty that we do not have. And the fact of the failure of this approach for handling the nuclear standoff with Iran will persist completely independent of our stubborn attachment to failed policy.

Facts of human nature don't give two shits what your opinion is of them. And the fact that backing Iran into a corner makes them more aggressive will persist until the Administration, the United Nations, and the Israeli leadership face up to their failure. Which may be a long time coming, at this point.

The fact that existentially threatening Israel has not resolved Ahmadinejad's hateful and irrational conflicts with her neighbor has clearly not occurred to the Iranian President either. But I take the irrational leadership of Iran as a given and work on the party who has a shot at being a bit more wise about their policies.

Perhaps none of these parties are capable of reasonable consideration of policy options, including considering options that leave them with lots of egg on their faces but has a better shot at getting the job done.

Facts don't give two shits how stubbornly you are attached to any particular way of doing things. And neither do I.

And a false sense of certainty does not replace more genuine understanding of the situation in front of you in a hundred years.

Some people can only learn such lessons the hard way, I am learning.

So be it.

But, this time, be a grown-up and take responsibility for your fuck up.

Or leave leadership to people who can.